Never before has a candidate alluded to a presidential run with a full admission that their agenda and record have failed. This week’s midterm elections were a generational loss for the Republican party in more ways than one: the country has not seen a loss of this magnitude in generations , Republicans lost voters across all generations and it may take the GOP generations to recover. Tuesday’s results were bad for the GOP, worse for President Donald Trump and the absolute worst for Vice President JD Vance , who is widely expected to run for the presidency in 2028. He is far more vulnerable in the Republican primary, and whoever wins that contest faces a general election made even more difficult for the GOP at large. As Vance progresses, he will find that it is very hard to run for president with your feet in cement. He is largely untested as a candidate, certainly unpopular and tightly tied to a historically unpopular president. He will carry forward the baggage of the past two years, viewed as a co-conspirator and accomplice to the destruction that Trump has wrought here and abroad. And Trump’s appointment of Stephen Miller as White House chief of staff means that the baggage will only get heavier and more horrific over the next two years. As a presidential candidate, Vance will have to answer questions from a public that demands results and accountability, things he is sorely lacking. Instead of addressing the elections in an interview or press conference, Vance decided to publish a post-election post on X. “The real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone,” he wrote . Voters wanted to “1) End the [Iran] war; 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation; 3) Put America First; 4) Change our relationship to Israel.” Part anecdotes, part mea culpa, and part affirmation of unrealized promises, it was a remarkably cryptic message from a sitting vice president. Was he breaking with Trump? Was he resigning? Was he reverting to his “Never Trump” roots? Never before has a candidate alluded to a presidential run with a full admission that their agenda and record have failed the nation. Promises made, nothing delivered. Apparently the vice president is trying to distance himself from his own tragically flawed boss. And while Vance reportedly told the White House about the post before publishing it, most think he will have as much leash from Trump as you give a lap dog. The vice president has had had no achievement nor any memorable moments. When Renée Good was killed, he rushed to the podium to denounce her. When Vivek Ramaswamy ran a vile attack ad against Amy Acton (now Ohio’s governor-elect) Vance jumped into cover himself in the slime, telling Republicans to quit whining about the ad. For the Republicans looking at the 2028 presidential campaign, they will find that brakes don’t work when the car is already off the cliff. During an interview with reporter Mark Halperin last month, Vance said , “It’s laughable to me the idea that Donald Trump has somehow been enriched by political office.” He was either lying or willfully blind. And throughout the interview he adapted an awkward forced laugh, like someone who was just informed how low their likability numbers are. As a presidential candidate, Vance will have to answer questions from a public that demands results and accountability, things he is sorely lacking. But it is not just the vice president who will have trouble in 2028. The entire Republican party and brand were rejected across the country. Come January, Democratic governors will control all swing states. More troubling is that that category seemingly includes Texas; should it go Democratic again, the path to a win in the Electoral College would be walled off. Though the Constitution only allows two terms of a president, the truth is that the limit is frequently irrelevant. After two terms of one party, the pattern of the country is to switch parties. George H.W. Bush is the only sitting vice president to ever make it to the O
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